TEXAS HOLD'EM. STUDY---- Results of players choices

Cigital Inc. Study Argues Player Choices Dominant Texas Hold'em Factor March 28, 2009 Martin Harris A new study conducted by Cigital, Inc., a company specializing in software security and development, was released on Friday that its authors argue "provides compelling statistics" that in Texas hold'em "the outcomes of games are largely determined by players' decisions rather than chance." After analyzing over 100 million hands of hold'em dealt at PokerStars during a one month period, it was discovered that less than one fourth of those hands ever reached showdown, meaning players' hole cards were never revealed to one another. Furthermore, of the hands that did reach showdown, only slightly over half of those hands were won by the player who had been dealt what would have proven to be the best five-card hand had the player not folded prior to showdown. The study's authors, Paco Hope (of Cigital) and Dr. Sean McCulloch of the Department of Mathematics and Computer Science at Ohio Wesleyan University, note that while their findings cannot be used "to quantify the effect luck has on Texas hold'em," they do provide strong support for the argument that "the majority of games [of hold'em] are determined by something other than the value of cards." In other words, it is how the players play their cards -- not the cards themselves -- that much more often than not determines who wins and who loses.

4 Responses

Sort Responses by [ Oldest First - Newest First - Most Popular ]

Got something to say? Click here to Add a Response!

southsidecan
southsidecan Gold 2
3411d ago
interesting to see this study that only 25% of the cards ever reached the showdown, seems to me that there is alot more bluffing going on ,and as far as it came to the showdown that only 50% on the average cards had actually won . these hands (stats) I will keep this in mind as I play in future games !!!!
PF_Birdman
PF_Birdman Silver 1
3410d ago
Wow, this is very interesting, indeed! It really goes to show me that when I'm playing, I'm playing entirely too loose. I don't know if it's because I have a lack of patience or I always think my hand is better than it truly is, but I would imagine that I see the showdown at least half of the time. 50%! It's no wonder my drawdowns are so large in my poker career. I would be very curious to know, though, how the profitability is distributed among those that play tight (rarely see the showdown) and those that play loose like me. I would imagine that the tight players are much more profitable!
ricky_roman
ricky_roman Bronze 1
3409d ago
Very interesting indeed, it shows you how a well timed bluff can be respected and pay you off.I wonder though,was this survey based on tournaments, cash tables, sng's or all of them combined? FL or NL? If it was based only on one type of game format I wonder how accurate it actually is, due to the fact that more rivers are seen in certain types of games. Still a very interesting article though.
southsidecan
southsidecan Gold 2
3409d ago
sorry I should have incuded this part also A total of 103,273,484 hand histories were analyzed, all from cash games (no play money). Also, because researchers believed "microlimit" games (with blinds under $1) "are considered too much like play money games," only a small number of the hands analyzed came from those limits, with the majority coming from higher stakes games. Hands were drawn from no-limit, pot-limit, and limit hold'em tables, either six-handed or full ring (i.e., no hands from heads-up tables were considered). this article is quite interesting tho
southsidecan